The makeup of the House puts Democrats at an advantage: there are more Democratic representation due to gerrymandering and a disproportionate amount of Democratic-held seats in heavily populated, liberal states such as California, New York and Illinois. However, the majority of the legislative unknowns for this cycle come from still-competitive swing states, such as North Carolina, Arizona, and Florida and even some Republican-leaning states like Georgia, and Texas. It’s possible for Democrats to win in those states as well, but they’re not guaranteed. In the end, the majority of the House majority will likely be won by Democratic candidates in states that lean more liberal, like California and New York.
The House majority will be won in liberal states. It’s still not a lock for Democrats.
